What We Own and Why: The Fixed Income Portfolio

Markets are headed higher, apparently relieved that Thursday’s jobless numbers were better than expected

Markets headed higher, apparently relieved that Thursday’s jobless numbers were better than expected and euro zone troubles muted—for now. News that fewer Americans joined the unemployment line last week caused a dramatic drop in the Swiss Franc, historically a “safe haven” currency, which has precipitated a rally in the commodity currencies. Meanwhile, gold is lower and crude is rebounding.

This respite from recent selling pressure has given me the opportunity to discuss our fixed income holdings. Combining bonds with stocks is a sensible way to add diversification to client holdings.  Equities “zig” while fixed income “zags” due to their opposite positions in the capital structure of a firm. A corporate action typically benefits either asset at the detriment of the other; this resulting “natural” non-correlation results in volatility reduction when the two assets are combined in a portfolio.

The largest allocation in our fixed income bucket is to the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index (AGG), the most widely used benchmark in the debt space (and our benchmark as well). AGG is equally split among corporates, mortgage and Treasury fixed income securities. Among these three groups, we favor mortgage backed securities, due to our belief that it is a complex sector with significant opportunities for those willing to crunch the numbers.

We achieve our additional mortgage exposure through the DoubleLine Total Return Fund (DBLTX).  They treat mortgages as a value play and concentrate on the agency sector. The bonds they buy (typically at a significant discount) allow the fund to have a yield of about 9%.

Corporate bonds are our second favorite group; we gain access to them via exchange-traded funds. 

Treasuries don’t offer much update in our opinion, since rates are so low. But we do have a small legacy position in longer-dated Treasuries (TLT), mainly as a hedge for equity volatility. This position was much larger in 2008, and we’ve been whittling it down since then. As one might imagine, it has been a great performer for us in the last week.

Foreign fixed income rounds out our bond allocation. Current Fed policy will almost surely lead to a lower dollar, so owning securities denominated in foreign currency makes a lot of sense. We anticipate adding to this position later this year.

We were fortunate to buy convertible bond and high yield debt at significant discounts in 2009, but have sold those positions. We might consider re-allocating, but not until valuations become more compelling.

You might notice that we tend to shy away from actively managed products. Considering current low yields, it is difficult to justify paying additional fees for professional management. The exception is the DoubleLine Fund; in our opinion, their expertise justifies the additional expense.

Next up:  our alternative investment holdings.

About the Author
Ben Warwick, Quantitative Equity Strategies

Ben Warwick, Quantitative Equity Strategies

Veteran investment strategist Ben Warwick brings 20 years of investment management expertise to AdvisorOne.com in his blog, Searching for Alpha. His market and economic insights provide readers with an insider’s view on generating alpha through asset allocation, the use of strategic portfolio “tilts” and alternative investments.

Ben Warwick founded Quantitative Equity Strategies (QES) in 2002 as a platform for implementing his quantitative investment strategies. The firm manages assets with traditional long-only equity and fixed income, private equity, managed futures and alternative investment mandates. QES has developed an industry leading expertise in building investment programs that can replicate alternative returns, while offering daily liquidity and transparency. These products include the HFRq, a hedge fund replication strategy developed in concert with Hedge Fund Research in Chicago; the Managed Futures Beta Index, with Aspen Partners; and the Nomura QES Modeled Private Equity Returns Index (PERI), which was developed with Nomura Bank and Preqin, the leading source of information in the private equity industry.    

He is the author of several books, including "Searching for Alpha: The Quest for Exceptional Investment Performance," (Wiley, 2000) and "The Handbook of Managed Futures," with Carl Peters, (McGraw-Hill, 1996).  He can be reached at ben@qesinvest.com.

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