Market Effects of Client Dismay With D.C.—Searching for Alpha for October 2011

After spending most of the last two weeks on the road talking to clients, one thing is crystal clear: their disappointment with Washington. Although the European debt crisis, the slowdown in emerging markets and concerns of a double-dip recession are still in people’s minds, few clients I spoke to believe that the legislative or executive branches of the U.S. government either understand or can successfully manage the domestic economy. 

This mindset has resulted in lots of nervous investors trimming positions in front of the fourth quarter. Equities had a terrible month, the greenback and U.S. Treasuries were beneficiaries of panic buying, and credit spreads ballooned. During most of this debacle, many investors believe that President Obama was an absentee landlord. 

Folks seem to have keen memories of 2008 and what it did to their hard earned savings. They seem willing to slash positions and don’t seem concerned about missing gains if things get better. 

So what’s an advisor to do in the scenario? Keep your finger on the rebalancing button, for starters, and take advantage of the current dislocation between equity and fixed income markets. 

Innovation and communication are also important. Having the willingness to allocate to asset classes such as currencies and managed futures, with the objective of adding return while reducing overall volatility, will go a long way toward showing clients that unusual circumstances may require unusual and creative portfolio solutions. 

As mere stewards of wealth, we cannot control the direction of the markets. But we can communicate more, allocate more intelligently, and do what we can to prevent another “lost decade” of investing opportunities from occurring.

 

About the Author
Ben Warwick, Quantitative Equity Strategies

Ben Warwick, Quantitative Equity Strategies

Veteran investment strategist Ben Warwick brings 20 years of investment management expertise to AdvisorOne.com in his blog, Searching for Alpha. His market and economic insights provide readers with an insider’s view on generating alpha through asset allocation, the use of strategic portfolio “tilts” and alternative investments.

Ben Warwick founded Quantitative Equity Strategies (QES) in 2002 as a platform for implementing his quantitative investment strategies. The firm manages assets with traditional long-only equity and fixed income, private equity, managed futures and alternative investment mandates. QES has developed an industry leading expertise in building investment programs that can replicate alternative returns, while offering daily liquidity and transparency. These products include the HFRq, a hedge fund replication strategy developed in concert with Hedge Fund Research in Chicago; the Managed Futures Beta Index, with Aspen Partners; and the Nomura QES Modeled Private Equity Returns Index (PERI), which was developed with Nomura Bank and Preqin, the leading source of information in the private equity industry.    

He is the author of several books, including "Searching for Alpha: The Quest for Exceptional Investment Performance," (Wiley, 2000) and "The Handbook of Managed Futures," with Carl Peters, (McGraw-Hill, 1996).  He can be reached at ben@qesinvest.com.

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