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Interest in Corporate M&A High, but Financing Still an Obstacle
The following are details from The Deal’s M&A Market Review webinar last week. Thanks to Nathan Dutzmann for the analyst coverage.
Salient points:
- Average deal value is up 25% in 2011 versus 2010 and stands at $301 million.
- Value is partially attributable to an increase in “mega deals” (greater than $5 billion).
- Total volume is relatively flat year-over-year due to the difficult environment of the last few months.
- Corporates (a.k.a., “strategics”) with large cash reserves can still get deals done.
- It's harder for private equities to make purchases.
- Many auctions are failing because financing is hard to find and prices are too high.
- Some deals are going for double-digit EBITDA multiples.
- Excess cash on the balance sheets of strategics is at record highs.
- Over $1 trillion of “dry powder” is available.
- This is driving the uptrend in acquisition pricing.
- More corporations are gearing up for divestitures, and some are still open to considering the IPO market.
- IPO filings are still active, even though IPOs are not.
- Groupon is slated to begin its roadshow next week.
- 2011 is projected to be a record year for health care M&A.
- The fastest growing sectors are long-term care, medical devices, hospital and pharma, and, interestingly, physician practices.
- Physicians are concerned about specific risks (e.g., litigation or unclear consequences of Obamacare) and are merging in the hope of stabilizing income in coming years.
- Deficit reduction may have a short-term negative effect on deal flow, because of a decrease in available cash in the economy and because of unclear tax consequences.
- The 2012 elections also create uncertainty.
About the Author
Ben Warwick, Quantitative Equity Strategies
Veteran investment strategist Ben Warwick brings 20 years of investment management expertise to AdvisorOne.com in his blog, Searching for Alpha. His market and economic insights provide readers with an insider’s view on generating alpha through asset allocation, the use of strategic portfolio “tilts” and alternative investments.
Ben Warwick founded Quantitative Equity Strategies (QES) in 2002 as a platform for implementing his quantitative investment strategies. The firm manages assets with traditional long-only equity and fixed income, private equity, managed futures and alternative investment mandates. QES has developed an industry leading expertise in building investment programs that can replicate alternative returns, while offering daily liquidity and transparency. These products include the HFRq, a hedge fund replication strategy developed in concert with Hedge Fund Research in Chicago; the Managed Futures Beta Index, with Aspen Partners; and the Nomura QES Modeled Private Equity Returns Index (PERI), which was developed with Nomura Bank and Preqin, the leading source of information in the private equity industry.
He is the author of several books, including "Searching for Alpha: The Quest for Exceptional Investment Performance," (Wiley, 2000) and "The Handbook of Managed Futures," with Carl Peters, (McGraw-Hill, 1996). He can be reached at ben@qesinvest.com.
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